Raised pig property prices 2008 analysis and look into

Our country raised pig course of study to experience a few big wave motion in last few years, can saying is be pregnant has concern. 2000~2002 year during, live pig price wanders in inferior price, to 2003 " SARS " the second half of the year after passing just begins to pick up, of the same age will enter gain area August, live pig price achieved the history 2004 top level, gain condition lasts to September 2005 all the time, after this begins by south drop quickly north, dropped to in May 2006 " trough " hind begin to pick up somewhat, of the same age live pig price will rise all the time September, up-to-date still maintain in historical maximum price. What reason is development of the estate that raise a pig up to now bring about the wave motion with live pig so great value? How is the prices 2008 met again? The development way that will raise pig employment henceforth how?

One, prices of the property that raise a pig is fluctuant case study

The common law of the prices that raise a pig is: All the time since our country numerous people takes traditional festival seriously quite, suffer the effect of the Spring Festival and the Mid-autumn Festival, inside every year live pig price often appears " two stage high, among low " the rule; Sufferring the market to dominate total cycle time of economy of the industry that raise a pig often is 3~4 year, namely " two good year one off year " . But when the sudden incident such as epidemic situation happens, the influence that often is market of hog of epidemic situation opposite is more than the influence of the market far.

Suffer effect of market supply demand relations, 2000~2002 year during, live pig price is in inferior price all the time. Happened first half of the year 2003 " SARS " , hog market is current and difficult, the part breeds an enthusiasm that raise a pig to drop, washed out partial sow, add to second half of the year " avian flu " influence, birds egg consumption drops bring about pork demand to rise. Accordingly price of live pig of second half of the year rose 2003, the course of study that raise a pig enters gain area, reach a peak to September 2004. People raises pig enthusiasm to be strengthened greatly, fill actively column, kinds of each are big 2004 pig farm is planted the pig demands exceeds supply. Because amount of can numerous sow soars, bring about began live pig price to drop quickly in September 2005, to June 2006 portion pig grain comes than dropping 4.37: 1, was 2000 the nadir since, the course of study that raise a pig is in deficit condition, breed door wash out can numerous sow in great quantities. Add Sichuan happening streptococcic reach the whole nation began from Jiangxi after the portion in May 2006 by south happen north " the pig is anonymous high fever is ill " , make raise pig employment one disaster after another, size raises pig door to dare not fill column. Right now consumer dare not eat pork again, although can numerous sow reachs quantity of live pig amount of livestock on hand to drop greatly, but pork price did not pick up inside short time.
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